Graph: Cumulative inflation in the US from 1913 to 2010
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Source: inflationdata.com
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In The theory of Monetary and Institutions, White (1999) pointed out that expected
inflation during gold standard in the long run is zero. Under the fiat-money
period, the inflation has risen dramatically. You can directly see in the above
graph about the inflation rate in the US-the strongest economy in the world.
From 1970s, after the ending of Bretton Woods system and marking for the using
fiat money until now, the inflation rate looks like a staircase. Why do people accept fiat money?
Some claimed that people accept fiat-money since it still has value
when acting as the medium of exchange (Turner, J., 2012). David Glasner (2011)
stated the backward induction idea of Earl Thompson to prove that fiat-money
has no value. Imaging that we are at the end of fiat-money period, no seller
will accept money in order to exchange their goods. Fiat-money, therefore, has
no value. Glasner gave two theories to explain why people accept this worthless
paper. First, people are not as rational as theory claimed they are. Second,
according to Earl Thompson, fiat-money provides service actually. The
government accepts fiat-money for paying discharge tax. It avoids the backward
induction argument because the seller will accept fiat-money to pay tax latter.
Recently, Khanacademic
(2011) stated that gold is not actual wealth while the fiat money give “the
right to the authorities to tax” and support to the economy which is REAL
WEALTH. Innovation products, new services, ideas etc. could be encouraged in
the economy with fiat-money. Gold has a limited supply resource. How can a pure
gold standard support to this dynamic economy? The fiat-money could be printed
with flexible to support for the increasing wealth in the economy. So that
people may agree to pay tax (inflation) to the government to have a better
life. It means they believe in the ability of creating wealth by the governing
of those politics. They believe that the governments do not print too many
money than the amount is necessary to exchange in the economy. However, what if
this belief goes down? The monetary system has been changed many times from
gold-standard to fiat money and vice versa. What is the future of gold and will
they back to the monetary system? Keep in touch with my blog for the next post.
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